Solving Problems Submitted to MAA Journals (Part 6e)

The following problem appeared in Volume 97, Issue 3 (2024) of Mathematics Magazine.

Two points $P$ and $Q$ are chosen at random (uniformly) from the interior of a unit circle. What is the probability that the circle whose diameter is segment $overline{PQ}$ lies entirely in the interior of the unit circle?

Let $D_r$ be the interior of the circle centered at the origin $O$ with radius $r$ . Also, let $C(P,Q)$ denote the circle with diameter $\overline{PQ}$ , and let $R = OP$ be the distance of $P$ from the origin.

In the previous post, we showed that

$\hbox{Pr}(C(P,Q) \subset D_1 \mid R = r) = \sqrt{1-r^2}$ .

To find $\hbox{Pr}(C(P,Q) \subset D_1)$ , I will integrate over this conditional probability:

$\hbox{Pr}(C(P,Q) \subset D_1) = \displaystyle \int_0^1 \hbox{Pr}(C(P,Q) \subset D_1 \mid R = r) F'(r) \, dr$ ,

where $F(r)$ is the cumulative distribution function of $R$ . For $0 \le r \le 1$ ,

$F(r) = \hbox{Pr}(R \le r) = \hbox{Pr}(P \in D_r) = \displaystyle \frac{\hbox{area}(D_r)}{\hbox{area}(D_1)} = \frac{\pi r^2}{\pi} = r^2$ .

Therefore,

$\hbox{Pr}(C(P,Q) \subset D_1) = \displaystyle \int_0^1 \hbox{Pr}(C(P,Q) \subset D_1 \mid R = r) F'(r) \, dr$

$= \displaystyle \int_0^1 2 r \sqrt{1-r^2} \, dr$ .

To calculate this integral, I’ll use the trigonometric substitution $u = 1-r^2$ . Then the endpoints $r=0$ and $r=1$ become $u = \sqrt{1-0^2} = 1$ and $u = \sqrt{1-1^2} = 0$ . Also, $du = -2r \, dr$ . Therefore,