I’m doing something that I should have done a long time ago: collect past series of posts into a single, easy-to-reference post. The following posts formed my series on different ways (correct and incorrect) to solve a two-part probability problem.
Part 1: Two different and correct ways of solving the following problem: “Two cards are dealt from a well-shuffled deck. Find the probability that the first is an ace or the second is a ace.”
Part 2: Two different ways — one correct, one incorrect — of solving the following problem: “Two cards are dealt from a well-shuffled deck. Find the probability that the first is an ace or the second is a jack.”
Part 3: Explaining the incorrect solution, and salvaging the solution to obtain the correct answer.